.................with apologies to Alistair Cook

Sunday, 13 April 2008

"It's the end of the world as we know it..."

A posting by a good friend, Henrik Kiertzner


on CIX, deserves a wider reading, so with grateful acknowledgment to him, here goes:

"Strategically speaking, it doesn't become harm to the human race until
around 10% or more of the total human biomass undergoes an involuntary and
sudden state change to fertiliser. I suspect if we're patient we'll see
this occur before 2020. Look for a return to a good old-fashioned
competition between nation states over resources as soon as the current
fad for war among the people (aka asymmetric warfare) passes*.

Add that to creeping deserts and a sudden application of robust
exclusionary measures on to large populations looking to relocate from
arid hellholes to Europe, an unstable China unable to sustain autarky, an
autarkic Russia with a population heading for the toilet and a properly
imperial America and we can look forward to a particularly exciting and
fragrant 21st Century.

Either that or we'll all learn to live together in peace and harmony.

Note that I make no value judgements here of any description and should
not be taken to endorse any of the above as either good or bad.

*This will occur at the point where the West either gives up expeditionary
warfare altogether or concludes that moderation in war is imbecility.
Given that the need for the former will continue (see resources,
competition for, above), the latter seems to me the more likely outcome."